Foresee: Instant Micro Markets for Live Games

Bet on every moment, not just the final score.

Real-time prediction markets for micro-events for any live game with instant, verifiable settlement powered by the Rialo decentralized execution network.

Why This Matters Now

The Problem: Sports Betting Is Stuck on Coarse Outcomes

  • Most markets are limited to match results, totals, or slow in-play lines.

  • Engagement is episodic; users bet, then wait minutes or hours.

  • Live betting often lags the action and feels house-controlled.

  • Meanwhile, sports generate hundreds of high-frequency micro-events that nobody monetizes as first-class markets.

The Wasted Opportunity

  • Every match has dozens to hundreds of points.

  • Momentum swings rapidly between break points, tie-breakers, pressure moments.

  • Fans already think point-by-point. Yet these intuitive predictions aren’t tradable today.

Micro-markets unlock:

  • Continuous engagement throughout the game

  • Higher volume through myriad small, rapid bets

  • Granular event-level data, building a defensible behavioral + pricing moat

No one today provides the infrastructure layer for instant micro-markets across all sports.

The Product: A Live Prediction Layer for Every Moment

How It Works

1

Data ingestion

Rialo workflows fetch live game data using native HTTPS calls.

2

Normalization

Data is transformed into standardized events (PointEvent, GoalEvent, etc.).

3

Market lifecycle

A timebound prediction market opens for each upcoming micro-event.

4

Instant settlement

When the event occurs, settlement happens instantly and trustlessly.

5

Continuous flow

The next micro-market appears automatically.

Everything including odds, bets, cutoffs and payouts run through deterministic onchain workflows.

Example: Tennis “Next Point” Experience

  • A match begins → “Next Point Winner” market opens.

  • Users see real-time odds influenced by score, momentum, and betting flow.

  • Betting UI: tap → slide → confirm (single onchain transaction).

  • Point ends → workflow settles instantly → next market opens.

  • Users chain micro-strategies:

    • Aggressively bet comebacks

    • Bet pressure points

    • Attack momentum swings in tie-breaks

User Flow

1

Onboard

Connect wallet and deposit fund.

2

Choose a game

Users check live score, time, key stats and what micro-markets are currently available.

3

Bet the Moment

Choose outcome, stake, confirm.

4

Resolve & Repeat

Instant, auditable settlement; new market appears immediately.

Why This Only Works on Rialo: The Technical Moat

Rialo provides primitives that no other chain offers natively.

1. Native HTTPS Oracles (Trusted Broker + VEL Architecture)

On-chain programs directly call sports APIs via secure, isolated Trusted Brokers / Verifiable Execution Layer (VEL) nodes.

  • Eliminates external oracle networks

  • Eliminates off-chain glue code

  • Supports multi-validator aggregation for GET requests

  • Creates a verifiable audit trail for every data input

2. Event-Driven Workflows (Venus PDK)

Programs react automatically to external and internal events:

  • “When a new point is reported → settle current market → open next.”

  • “If no update in X seconds → close betting.”

  • “Poll feed every Y seconds for safety.”

This is native execution logic, not scripts or cron jobs.

3. Built-In Onchain Timers & Scheduling

Supports:

  • Time-based cutoffs

  • Periodic data polling

  • Automated risk checks

4. High-Throughput, Low-Latency Performance

Enabled by:

  • Async runtime

  • Multi-concurrent-proposer BFT consensus

  • Decoupled consensus and execution

This design allows thousands of tiny, fast-settling markets per match (something conventional blockchains cannot handle cost-effectively).

5. Economic Efficiency

Rialo’s architecture ensures per-event pricing and instant settlement are economically feasible at scale because compute and consensus overhead is minimal per micro-market.

How New Sports Are Added

1

Connect a feed

Plug in a new data feed.

2

Normalize events

Normalize feed events into standardized, structured event objects.

3

Map markets

Map events → new micro-market types.

The core engine stays unchanged. This is why Foresee scales horizontally across all sports, esports, and structured event streams.

Fairness, Compliance & Risk

Transparent by Design

  • All rules like payout logic, cutoffs and void conditions are encoded onchain.

  • Multi-feed validation protects against data issues.

  • Deterministic BFT ensures all validators agree on:

    • sequence of bets

    • timing of events

    • settlement correctness

There is no “house” resolving outcomes. Settlement is automatic and trust-minimized.

User Protection

  • Per-market caps

  • Exposure limits

  • Cooling-off windows

  • Self-exclusion

  • Geographic and KYC/AML gating for real-money markets

Regulatory Alignment

The underlying tech is neutral; the product behaves like a regulated betting platform.

Transparency simplifies audits and compliance. This is a strategic advantage compared to opaque centralized sportsbooks.

Business Model

Revenue Streams

  • Per-market fees

  • Spread / margin in pricing

  • Premium analytics (momentum dashboards, probability curves)

  • VIP tiers (reduced fees, higher limits)

  • B2B / white-label integrations for sportsbooks and media platforms

Cost Structure

Costs are low:

  • Onchain compute + data

  • Rialo’s async runtime + decoupled execution → extremely efficient per-event pricing

This creates strong unit economics even at high micro-market frequency.

Go-to-Market Strategy

Phase 1: Show the Experience

  • Launch on Rialo testnet or a sandbox with play-money.

  • Focus on UX, event timing, and instant settlement.

  • Start with a small set of sports and micro-events and offer flagship experiences.

  • Target crypto-native sports fans, fantasy communities, streamers.

  • Measure:

    • micro-markets per user

    • average session time

    • multi-game return rate

Phase 2: Scale & Monetize

  • Launch real-money markets with licensed operators.

  • Expand into basketball and esports.

  • Release white-label engine for betting platforms and media networks.

  • Begin personalization + analytics offerings using per-event behavioral data.

The Team

Shawn Quigg, Co-Founder

Shawn brings 25 years of experience in derivatives strategy, quantitative research, and institutional advisory. He previously served as an Executive Director at J.P. Morgan Private Bank, where he advised hedge funds and family offices. He was an All-American Researcher in JPM’s QDS Group and part of the #1-ranked Equity-Linked Securities team from 2016 to 2021. Prior to that, he held senior derivatives roles at SIG and Quad Capital. His core expertise spans market-implied probabilities, tail-risk pricing, and volatility-surface modeling.

Atharva Amritkar, Co-Founder

Atharva founded Arcane Labs, a venture studio that has supported the growth and scaling of 30+ crypto ecosystems through advanced protocol R&D, infrastructure engineering, and ecosystem acceleration. His work spans leading projects such as Mode, Fuel, Biconomy, the Ethereum Foundation, Monad, Berachain, Bittensor, and more. He has built a stock borrowing and lending platform that reached a $150M market cap, developed blockchain infrastructure for the Canadian healthcare system, contributed extensively to major open-source ecosystems, and collaborated with Hashed VC and Bankless VC on high-impact infrastructure initiatives.

Competitive Edge

  1. Purpose-built DNA: designed specifically for instant micro-markets.

  2. Native infrastructure moat: event-driven workflows + HTTPS oracles + BFT consensus.

  3. Sport-agnostic engine: any structured event feed becomes a tradable micro-market.

  4. Compounding data advantage: per-event behavior + pricing data fuels superior models and B2B analytics over time.

The Future of Watching Sports

Foresee transforms passive viewing into active participation.

Every second becomes tradable. Every event becomes a market. Every fan becomes a strategist.

Bet on moments. Settle instantly. Built on Rialo.

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